Adam Hamilton
Implied probability 100%+37
24-hour volume$1.9M
Total volume$7.4M
Liquidity$7.4M
Resolves3 Nov 2027
Does the market have this right?
Email me when the odds move
What counts
The market resolves to Yes if a Democrat takes office as a U.S. Senator from Kansas starting in 2027. It resolves to No if any other candidate wins that seat or if the position remains vacant. Readers often mistake the election date for the resolution deadline, but the outcome depends on who is actually sworn in.
Written from Kalshi's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Kalshi are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 100%
- No 0%