Ashley Hinson
Implied probability 0%−49
24-hour volume$4.3M
Total volume$9.5M
Liquidity$9.5M
Resolves3 Nov 2027
Does the market have this right?
Email me when the odds move
What counts
The market resolves to Yes if a Republican is sworn in as an Iowa Senator for the 2027 term. It resolves to No otherwise. Readers often mistake the linked news story about campaign rhetoric for the actual election result.
Written from Kalshi's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Kalshi are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 0%
- No 100%