Mike Collins
Implied probability 1%−3
24-hour volume$1.7M
Total volume$5.0M
Liquidity$5.0M
Resolves3 Nov 2027
Does the market have this right?
Email me when the odds move
What counts
The outcome is Yes if a Republican is sworn in as a U.S. Senator from Georgia for the term starting in 2027. The outcome is No if that specific event does not occur. Readers often mistake the arrest of a suspect for death threats as the deciding factor, but only the official swearing-in matters.
Written from Kalshi's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Kalshi are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 1%
- No 100%