Before Jan 1, 2027
Implied probability 9%+2
24-hour volume$216
Total volume$135k
Liquidity$135k
Resolves1 Jan 2027
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 9% |
| 17 Oct, 23:10 UTC | 9% |
| 16 Oct, 19:41 UTC | 7% |
| 15 Oct, 04:22 UTC | 6% |
| 14 Oct, 04:02 UTC | 7% |
Your call. How does this end?
Free, no money involved. Calls are scored against the market's price when you make them, so backing an underdog that wins scores most. Leaderboard · Your calls
Does the market have this right?
Email me when the odds move
What counts
The market resolves to Yes if Volodymyr Zelenskyy and Vladimir Putin have any contact, including a phone call, before January 1, 2027. Otherwise, it resolves to No. Readers often mistake the linked news story about their conversation with Trump as the resolution event.
Written from Kalshi's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Kalshi are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 9%
- No 91%