Before Nov 3, 2026
Implied probability 1%
24-hour volume$2k
Total volume$74k
Liquidity$74k
Resolves3 Nov 2026
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 1% |
| 25 Oct, 20:40 UTC | 1% |
| 25 Oct, 19:32 UTC | 3% |
| 25 Oct, 18:50 UTC | 2% |
Does the market have this right?
Email me when the odds move
What counts
The market resolves to Yes if a White House press briefing led by Katie Zacharia is confirmed by any Source Agency between now and November 3, 2026. Otherwise, it resolves to No. Readers often mistake the date of her departure for the deadline, but the actual cutoff is November 3, 2026.
Written from Kalshi's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Kalshi are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 1%
- No 99%