Chen Jining
Implied probability 4%
24-hour volume$0
Total volume$7k
Liquidity$7k
Resolves1 Jan 2045
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 4% |
| 2 Nov, 18:19 UTC | 4% |
Your call. How does this end?
Free, no money involved. Calls are scored against the market's price when you make them, so backing an underdog that wins scores most. Leaderboard · Your calls
Does the market have this right?
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What counts
The market resolves to Yes if Chen Jining is officially announced as the first new non-interim leader of the Chinese Communist Party before January 1, 2045. Otherwise, it resolves to No. Readers often mistake any interim appointment or general political promotion for a final leadership announcement.
Written from Kalshi's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Kalshi are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 4%
- No 96%