Elena Rybakina
The market favoured Yes at 58% a day out, and it won. How often it's right
Final probability 99%
24-hour volume$5k
Total volume$9k
Liquidity$9k
Resolved28 Nov 2026
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 99% |
| 25 Oct, 10:49 UTC | 96% |
| 25 Oct, 10:28 UTC | 88% |
| 25 Oct, 09:58 UTC | 70% |
| 25 Oct, 09:07 UTC | 75% |
| 25 Oct, 05:03 UTC | 77% |
| 25 Oct, 03:58 UTC | 76% |
| 24 Oct, 23:05 UTC | 70% |
| 24 Oct, 21:37 UTC | 74% |
| 24 Oct, 21:19 UTC | 69% |
| 24 Oct, 17:54 UTC | 77% |
| 24 Oct, 14:27 UTC | 81% |
| 23 Oct, 14:00 UTC | 43% |
What counts
The market resolves to Yes if Elena Rybakina wins the 2026 WTA Ningbo professional tennis tournament. It resolves to No if she does not win. Readers often mistake the linked story headline for the resolution condition, but only the actual tournament outcome matters.
Written from Kalshi's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Kalshi are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 99%
- No 1%