Coco Gauff
The market favoured No at 83% a day out, and it won. How often it's right
Final probability 1%
24-hour volume$0
Total volume$11k
Liquidity$11k
Resolved7 Oct 2026
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 1% |
| 7 Oct, 09:03 UTC | 1% |
| 7 Oct, 08:40 UTC | 27% |
| 7 Oct, 00:35 UTC | 18% |
| 6 Oct, 20:30 UTC | 17% |
| 6 Oct, 17:53 UTC | 16% |
| 6 Oct, 14:37 UTC | 19% |
| 6 Oct, 12:34 UTC | 34% |
| 6 Oct, 07:19 UTC | 35% |
| 6 Oct, 05:41 UTC | 34% |
| 6 Oct, 03:16 UTC | 32% |
| 6 Oct, 02:36 UTC | 31% |
| 6 Oct, 00:16 UTC | 16% |
| 5 Oct, 22:49 UTC | 33% |
| 5 Oct, 22:21 UTC | 32% |
| 5 Oct, 21:47 UTC | 31% |
| 4 Oct, 21:21 UTC | 29% |
What counts
The market resolves to Yes if Coco Gauff wins the 2026 WTA Beijing professional tennis tournament. It resolves to No if she does not win that specific event. Readers often mistake the linked news story about the China Open for the resolution criteria, but only the outcome of the 2026 Beijing tournament counts.
Written from Kalshi's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Kalshi are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 1%
- No 99%