A'ja Wilson
Implied probability 1%−10
24-hour volume$5k
Total volume$14k
Liquidity$14k
Resolves1 Dec 2027
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 1% |
| 10 Oct, 04:20 UTC | 3% |
| 10 Oct, 03:47 UTC | 8% |
| 10 Oct, 03:27 UTC | 16% |
| 10 Oct, 00:53 UTC | 14% |
| 10 Oct, 00:05 UTC | 16% |
| 9 Oct, 22:52 UTC | 15% |
| 9 Oct, 22:10 UTC | 14% |
| 9 Oct, 21:51 UTC | 12% |
| 9 Oct, 13:28 UTC | 11% |
| 9 Oct, 03:54 UTC | 10% |
| 9 Oct, 03:20 UTC | 5% |
| 8 Oct, 22:42 UTC | 6% |
| 8 Oct, 22:02 UTC | 10% |
| 8 Oct, 20:47 UTC | 6% |
| 7 Oct, 19:45 UTC | 22% |
Does the market have this right?
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What counts
The outcome is Yes if A'ja Wilson wins the 2026 WNBA Finals MVP award. The outcome is No if she does not win that specific title. Readers often mistake the regular season MVP for the Finals MVP.
Written from Kalshi's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Kalshi are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 1%
- No 99%