Atlanta hosts Finals Game 3 at Gateway Center Arena
Implied probability 10%+6
24-hour volume$455
Total volume$2k
Liquidity$2k
Resolves1 Nov 2026
Why it moved: +35 points at 23:41 UTC, after feeds.bleacherreport.com: WNBA Finals Ticket Prices Reach Historic Levels for Angel Reese, Dream vs. Valkyries at Hawks' Arena — the latest article on its stories before the jump; what followed, not what caused it.
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 10% |
| 15 Oct, 17:03 UTC | 10% |
| 15 Oct, 01:55 UTC | 37% |
| 14 Oct, 23:41 UTC | 45% |
| 14 Oct, 22:38 UTC | 10% |
| 14 Oct, 19:50 UTC | 6% |
| 14 Oct, 14:38 UTC | 4% |
| 14 Oct, 12:06 UTC | 20% |
| 14 Oct, 11:52 UTC | 31% |
| 14 Oct, 01:15 UTC | 10% |
| 13 Oct, 17:49 UTC | 1% |
| 13 Oct, 17:07 UTC | 5% |
| 12 Oct, 16:56 UTC | 0% |
Does the market have this right?
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What counts
The market resolves to Yes if the third game of the 2026 WNBA Finals takes place at Gateway Center Arena in College Park, Georgia. It resolves to No if that specific game occurs anywhere else. Readers often mistake the linked story about venue uncertainty for a final decision, but only the actual location of Game 3 matters.
Written from Kalshi's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Kalshi are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 10%
- No 90%