Elon Musk
The market favoured Yes at 94% a day out, and it won. How often it's right
Final probability 100%
24-hour volume$0
Total volume$18k
Liquidity$18k
Resolved25 Sept 2026
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 100% |
| 25 Sept, 02:59 UTC | 100% |
| 24 Sept, 01:51 UTC | 93% |
What counts
Elon Musk must visit the White House between December 9, 2025, and January 1, 2027, for the outcome to be Yes. The market resolves based on this specific visit window, not on other meetings or public appearances. Readers often mistake the linked news event as the trigger, but only a White House visit within the stated dates counts.
Written from Kalshi's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Kalshi are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 100%
- No 0%