At least 5 weeks
The market favoured Yes at 99% a day out, and it won. How often it's right
Final probability 99%
24-hour volume$0
Total volume$14k
Liquidity$14k
Resolved26 Oct 2026
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 99% |
| 20 Oct, 05:47 UTC | 99% |
What counts
The outcome is Yes if Taylor Swift holds the number one spot on the Billboard 200 chart for a total of at least five weeks during 2026. The outcome is No if she does not reach that threshold within that calendar year. Readers often mistake the current headline about her recent chart success as sufficient, but only weeks accumulated in 2026 count toward the resolution.
Written from Kalshi's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Kalshi are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 99%
- No 1%