Spain
Implied probability 26%
24-hour volume$22
Total volume$21k
Liquidity$21k
Resolves9 Aug 2027
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 26% |
| 15 Oct, 22:01 UTC | 26% |
| 15 Oct, 20:52 UTC | 23% |
| 15 Oct, 11:53 UTC | 26% |
| 15 Oct, 10:38 UTC | 23% |
| 14 Oct, 23:41 UTC | 28% |
| 14 Oct, 21:13 UTC | 25% |
| 14 Oct, 17:25 UTC | 29% |
| 14 Oct, 16:15 UTC | 28% |
| 14 Oct, 08:16 UTC | 28% |
| 14 Oct, 03:55 UTC | 28% |
| 14 Oct, 02:01 UTC | 27% |
| 14 Oct, 01:35 UTC | 28% |
| 14 Oct, 01:08 UTC | 28% |
| 14 Oct, 00:41 UTC | 28% |
| 13 Oct, 23:46 UTC | 28% |
| 13 Oct, 22:31 UTC | 28% |
| 13 Oct, 18:50 UTC | 28% |
| 13 Oct, 15:50 UTC | 28% |
| 13 Oct, 12:01 UTC | 28% |
| 13 Oct, 05:01 UTC | 28% |
| 12 Oct, 19:56 UTC | 28% |
| 11 Oct, 19:24 UTC | 29% |
| 11 Oct, 01:16 UTC | 26% |
| 10 Oct, 23:30 UTC | 29% |
| 10 Oct, 21:06 UTC | 27% |
| 10 Oct, 20:03 UTC | 29% |
| 10 Oct, 19:56 UTC | 46% |
| 10 Oct, 19:24 UTC | 25% |
| 10 Oct, 18:08 UTC | 26% |
| 10 Oct, 04:47 UTC | 26% |
| 10 Oct, 02:46 UTC | 26% |
Your call. How does this end?
Free, no money involved. Calls are scored against the market's price when you make them, so backing an underdog that wins scores most. Leaderboard · Your calls
Does the market have this right?
Email me when the odds move
What counts
The market resolves to Yes if Spain wins the 2027 FIFA Women's World Cup. It resolves to No if any other team wins the tournament. Readers often mistake the linked news story about player call-ups for the actual resolution criteria.
Written from Kalshi's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Kalshi are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 26%
- No 74%