Paraguay
Implied probability 1%
24-hour volume$0
Total volume$7k
Liquidity$7k
Resolves15 Jan 2031
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 1% |
| 4 Nov, 16:36 UTC | 1% |
Does the market have this right?
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What counts
The market resolves to Yes if Paraguay wins the 2030 FIFA Men's World Cup. It resolves to No if Paraguay does not win that tournament. Readers often mistake the linked story about President Santiago Pena’s resignation for a relevant factor, but only the World Cup result matters.
Written from Kalshi's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Kalshi are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 1%
- No 100%