Angel Reese
The market favoured No at 97% a day out, and it won. How often it's right
Final probability 18%
24-hour volume$288
Total volume$5k
Liquidity$5k
Resolved31 Dec 2026
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 18% |
| 19 Oct, 00:58 UTC | 18% |
| 19 Oct, 00:18 UTC | 26% |
| 18 Oct, 23:50 UTC | 15% |
| 18 Oct, 22:42 UTC | 16% |
| 16 Oct, 05:48 UTC | 3% |
| 14 Oct, 04:41 UTC | 4% |
What counts
The outcome is Yes if Angel Reese appears as an official runway model at the Victoria's Secret Fashion Show in 2026. Otherwise, the outcome is No. Readers often mistake her WNBA career or other modeling work for this specific requirement.
Written from Kalshi's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Kalshi are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 18%
- No 82%