At least 50%
Implied probability 36%
24-hour volume$0
Total volume$1k
Liquidity$1k
Resolves3 Nov 2027
Your call. How does this end?
Free, no money involved. Calls are scored against the market's price when you make them, so backing an underdog that wins scores most. Leaderboard · Your calls
Does the market have this right?
Email me when the odds move
What counts
The market resolves to Yes if Ashley Hinson receives at least 50% of the popular vote in the 2026 Iowa Senate election. It resolves to No if she receives less than 50%. Readers often mistake the deadline for Election Day, but the resolution depends on the final certified vote count.
Written from Kalshi's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Kalshi are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 36%
- No 64%