At least 56%
Implied probability 57%
24-hour volume$0
Total volume$5k
Liquidity$5k
Resolves3 Nov 2027
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 57% |
| 28 Oct, 16:17 UTC | 57% |
| 27 Oct, 16:22 UTC | 52% |
Your call. How does this end?
Free, no money involved. Calls are scored against the market's price when you make them, so backing an underdog that wins scores most. Leaderboard · Your calls
Does the market have this right?
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What counts
The market resolves to Yes if Kathy Hochul receives between 56% and 100% of the popular vote in the 2026 New York gubernatorial election, according to the official certified results. It resolves to No if her share falls below that threshold. Readers often mistake the date of the election for the deadline, but the resolution depends on the final certified percentage, not the initial vote count.
Written from Kalshi's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Kalshi are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 57%
- No 43%