Shaboozey
The market favoured No at 98% a day out, and it won. How often it's right
Final probability 1%
24-hour volume$6k
Total volume$13k
Liquidity$13k
Resolved27 Sept 2027
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 1% |
| 28 Sept, 02:08 UTC | 1% |
| 26 Sept, 06:25 UTC | 2% |
What counts
The market resolves to Yes if Shaboozey wins the Best Country award at the 2026 MTV Video Music Awards. It resolves to No if he does not win that specific award. Readers often mistake a performance or nomination for a win.
Written from Kalshi's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Kalshi are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 1%
- No 99%