India
Implied probability 62%
24-hour volume$0
Total volume$1k
Liquidity$1k
Resolves18 Feb 2027
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 62% |
| 5 Nov, 00:01 UTC | 62% |
| 4 Nov, 01:27 UTC | 53% |
Your call. How does this end?
Free, no money involved. Calls are scored against the market's price when you make them, so backing an underdog that wins scores most. Leaderboard · Your calls
Does the market have this right?
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What counts
The market resolves to Yes if India's U.S. Treasury securities holdings in December 2026 exceed those from December 2025. The comparison uses the first non-preliminary edition of Table 5 that includes the December 2026 data. Readers often mistake the linked news story about IDBI Bank for the relevant financial metric.
Written from Kalshi's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Kalshi are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 62%
- No 38%