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Restore Britain party

Implied probability 2%
24-hour volume$398
Total volume$105k
Liquidity$105k
Resolves31 Aug 2029
How the odds moved · Restore Britain party
0%50%100%2%29 Oct, 22:10 UTCnow
Price data
TimeChance of yes
now2%
4 Nov, 04:25 UTC2%
4 Nov, 00:29 UTC5%
29 Oct, 22:10 UTC2%

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Free, no money involved. Calls are scored against the market's price when you make them, so backing an underdog that wins scores most. Leaderboard · Your calls

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What counts

The outcome is Yes if the Restore Britain party wins the most seats in the next UK general election. The outcome is No if any other party wins the most seats or if no party secures a majority. Readers often mistake this for a prediction about the linked thinktank's proposal rather than the actual election results.

Written from Kalshi's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Kalshi are what decides it.

Outcomes

  • Yes 2%
  • No 98%

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