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France

Implied probability 99%+34
24-hour volume$3.8M
Total volume$3.8M
Liquidity$3.8M
Resolves7 Oct 2026

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What counts

France wins if it scores more goals than Belgium after 90 minutes of play and added stoppage time. The result excludes any extra time or penalty shootouts that might follow. Readers often mistake the final score after penalties for the winning margin, but only the score at the end of regulation time counts.

Written from Kalshi's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Kalshi are what decides it.

Outcomes

  • Yes 99%
  • No 1%

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