Scotland
Implied probability 99%+43
24-hour volume$278k
Total volume$294k
Liquidity$294k
Resolves5 Oct 2026
Does the market have this right?
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What counts
Scotland must win the UEFA Nations League match against North Macedonia within the standard 90 minutes of play, including any added stoppage time, for the outcome to be Yes. The result does not include extra time or penalty shootouts. Readers often mistakenly believe that a draw or a victory in extra time counts toward the Yes outcome.
Written from Kalshi's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Kalshi are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 99%
- No 1%