Both Teams To Score
The market favoured Yes at 66% a day out, but No won. How often it's right
Final probability 1%
24-hour volume$384k
Total volume$386k
Liquidity$386k
Resolved30 Sept 2026
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 1% |
| 28 Sept, 19:18 UTC | 59% |
| 28 Sept, 18:54 UTC | 66% |
| 26 Sept, 23:27 UTC | 65% |
What counts
The market resolves to Yes if both Belgium and France score at least one goal during the 90-minute regulation period, including stoppage time. The outcome is No if either team fails to score or if the match does not take place as scheduled. Readers often mistakenly include goals scored during extra time or penalty shootouts, which do not count toward this resolution.
Written from Kalshi's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Kalshi are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 1%
- No 99%