Liverpool
Implied probability 95%+31
24-hour volume$3.4M
Total volume$4.2M
Liquidity$4.2M
Resolves22 Oct 2026
Does the market have this right?
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What counts
The market resolves to Yes if Liverpool wins the match after 90 minutes of regular play, including stoppage time. It resolves to No if the game ends in a draw or if Villarreal wins during that same period. Readers often mistakenly believe that extra time or penalty shootouts determine the result, but these are excluded from the resolution.
Written from Kalshi's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Kalshi are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 95%
- No 5%