Gina Hinojosa and James Talarico win
Implied probability 99%+62
24-hour volume$358k
Total volume$694k
Liquidity$694k
Resolves3 Nov 2027
Does the market have this right?
Email me when the odds move
What counts
The market resolves to Yes if both the Texas Governor and Texas Senate races are won by Democratic candidates. It resolves to No if either candidate loses or if a non-Democrat wins either seat. Readers often mistake the linked story about party pressure for an actual election result.
Written from Kalshi's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Kalshi are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 99%
- No 1%