Above 475,000
Why it moved: −31 points at 10:49 UTC, after The Verge: Tesla is ‘winding down’ production of the Cybertruck next year — the latest article on its stories before the jump; what followed, not what caused it.
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 35% |
| 7 Nov, 05:23 UTC | 35% |
| 7 Nov, 01:55 UTC | 26% |
| 6 Nov, 10:49 UTC | 28% |
| 5 Nov, 10:08 UTC | 59% |
Your call. How does this end?
Free, no money involved. Calls are scored against the market's price when you make them, so backing an underdog that wins scores most. Leaderboard · Your calls
Does the market have this right?
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What counts
The market resolves to Yes if Tesla reports more than 475,000 total vehicle deliveries during the first quarter of 2027. Otherwise, it resolves to No. Readers often mistake the linked news story about Cybertruck production for the actual delivery count.
Written from Kalshi's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Kalshi are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 35%
- No 65%