Before Jul 1, 2027
Implied probability 9%
24-hour volume$0
Total volume$12k
Liquidity$12k
Resolves1 Jul 2027
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 9% |
| 15 Oct, 13:51 UTC | 9% |
Your call. How does this end?
Free, no money involved. Calls are scored against the market's price when you make them, so backing an underdog that wins scores most. Leaderboard · Your calls
Does the market have this right?
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What counts
The market resolves to Yes if the U.S. President attempts to fire the Federal Reserve Chair before July 1, 2027. Otherwise, it resolves to No. Readers often mistake a decline to signal interest rate moves as an attempt to fire the Fed Chair.
Written from Kalshi's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Kalshi are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 9%
- No 91%