Georgia
Implied probability 75%−17
24-hour volume$739
Total volume$4k
Liquidity$4k
Resolves1 Nov 2026
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 75% |
| 9 Oct, 23:32 UTC | 75% |
| 9 Oct, 21:23 UTC | 74% |
| 9 Oct, 19:44 UTC | 70% |
| 5 Oct, 17:51 UTC | 92% |
| 5 Oct, 10:41 UTC | 88% |
| 5 Oct, 02:14 UTC | 91% |
| 4 Oct, 14:46 UTC | 85% |
| 4 Oct, 05:37 UTC | 92% |
| 4 Oct, 00:01 UTC | 96% |
| 3 Oct, 22:43 UTC | 94% |
| 3 Oct, 20:43 UTC | 97% |
Does the market have this right?
Email me when the odds move
What counts
The outcome is Yes if Donald Trump physically travels to and stays within Georgia between October 1, 2026, and November 1, 2026. The outcome is No if he does not meet this specific presence requirement during that window. Readers often mistake the linked news story about a football game as sufficient proof, but only his actual physical presence in the state counts.
Written from Kalshi's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Kalshi are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 75%
- No 25%