Peptide
Implied probability 16%
24-hour volume$0
Total volume$2k
Liquidity$2k
Resolves1 Nov 2026
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 16% |
| 16 Oct, 18:24 UTC | 16% |
| 16 Oct, 15:24 UTC | 14% |
| 16 Oct, 02:55 UTC | 8% |
| 14 Oct, 20:33 UTC | 14% |
Does the market have this right?
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What counts
The outcome is Yes if Donald Trump states the word Peptide, or a plural or possessive form of it, between October 1, 2026 at 10:00am ET and November 1, 2026 at 12:00am ET. Otherwise, the outcome is No. Readers often mistake the linked news story as sufficient evidence, but only a direct statement by Trump during the specified window counts.
Written from Kalshi's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Kalshi are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 16%
- No 84%