Norway / Norwegian
The market favoured Yes at 99% a day out, and it won. How often it's right
Final probability 99%
24-hour volume$0
Total volume$1k
Liquidity$1k
Resolved13 Oct 2026
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 99% |
| 12 Oct, 05:37 UTC | 99% |
What counts
The market resolves to Yes if Donald Trump explicitly states Norway or a Norwegian form after October 1, 2026 at 10:00am ET and before November 1, 2026 at 12:00am ET. Otherwise, it resolves to No. Readers often mistake the deadline for the date of the statement rather than the time window in which the statement must occur.
Written from Kalshi's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Kalshi are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 99%
- No 1%