Uber
Implied probability 19%−3
24-hour volume$17
Total volume$2k
Liquidity$2k
Resolves1 Oct 2026
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 19% |
| 26 Sept, 00:49 UTC | 19% |
| 25 Sept, 23:08 UTC | 23% |
| 25 Sept, 19:10 UTC | 5% |
| 25 Sept, 16:19 UTC | 18% |
| 25 Sept, 13:18 UTC | 4% |
| 25 Sept, 11:48 UTC | 14% |
| 25 Sept, 10:36 UTC | 6% |
| 25 Sept, 07:49 UTC | 4% |
| 25 Sept, 04:49 UTC | 15% |
| 24 Sept, 04:18 UTC | 26% |
Does the market have this right?
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What counts
The outcome is Yes if Donald Trump explicitly mentions Uber or a variation of its name before October 1, 2026, at 12:00 AM ET. Otherwise, the outcome is No. Readers often mistake the deadline for the date of the statement rather than the cutoff time, or they assume any news article about Uber counts instead of requiring Trump's direct statement.
Written from Kalshi's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Kalshi are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 19%
- No 81%