Qualcomm / QCOM
Implied probability 25%−2
24-hour volume$267
Total volume$2k
Liquidity$2k
Resolves1 Oct 2026
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 25% |
| 26 Sept, 06:08 UTC | 25% |
| 26 Sept, 05:08 UTC | 26% |
| 26 Sept, 04:52 UTC | 2% |
| 26 Sept, 00:41 UTC | 27% |
| 25 Sept, 23:29 UTC | 29% |
| 25 Sept, 22:16 UTC | 26% |
| 25 Sept, 16:37 UTC | 30% |
| 25 Sept, 14:16 UTC | 27% |
| 25 Sept, 12:57 UTC | 29% |
| 25 Sept, 12:18 UTC | 13% |
| 25 Sept, 11:48 UTC | 7% |
| 25 Sept, 07:49 UTC | 13% |
| 25 Sept, 04:49 UTC | 2% |
| 24 Sept, 17:42 UTC | 36% |
| 24 Sept, 16:47 UTC | 45% |
| 24 Sept, 14:28 UTC | 42% |
| 24 Sept, 06:50 UTC | 43% |
| 24 Sept, 03:00 UTC | 44% |
| 24 Sept, 00:41 UTC | 48% |
| 23 Sept, 12:14 UTC | 54% |
| 22 Sept, 12:00 UTC | 67% |
Does the market have this right?
Email me when the odds move
What counts
The outcome is Yes if Donald Trump explicitly mentions Qualcomm or QCOM in any form before October 1, 2026, at 12:00 am ET. Otherwise, the outcome is No. Readers often mistake the linked news story for a qualifying statement, but only direct quotes from Trump count toward resolution.
Written from Kalshi's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Kalshi are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 25%
- No 75%