ChatGPT / OpenAI
Implied probability 63%+2
24-hour volume$19
Total volume$1k
Liquidity$1k
Resolves1 Nov 2026
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 63% |
| 23 Oct, 20:35 UTC | 63% |
| 23 Oct, 20:19 UTC | 64% |
| 23 Oct, 03:41 UTC | 61% |
| 23 Oct, 00:55 UTC | 71% |
| 22 Oct, 18:20 UTC | 54% |
| 22 Oct, 00:17 UTC | 63% |
| 21 Oct, 16:36 UTC | 71% |
| 21 Oct, 14:05 UTC | 65% |
| 20 Oct, 13:52 UTC | 64% |
Does the market have this right?
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What counts
For the outcome to be Yes, Donald Trump must explicitly mention ChatGPT or OpenAI in a statement made between October 1, 2026, at 10:00 am ET and November 1, 2026, at 12:00 am ET. The market resolves to No if this specific condition is not met within that exact timeframe.
Written from Kalshi's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Kalshi are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 63%
- No 37%