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Before his term ends

Implied probability 25%+1
24-hour volume$32k
Total volume$686k
Liquidity$686k
Resolves21 Jan 2029
How the odds moved · Before his term ends
0%50%100%25%31 Oct, 12:54 UTCnow
Price data
TimeChance of yes
now25%
7 Nov, 06:46 UTC26%
7 Nov, 06:12 UTC24%
7 Nov, 05:57 UTC25%
7 Nov, 05:02 UTC25%
7 Nov, 04:47 UTC25%
7 Nov, 03:59 UTC25%
7 Nov, 03:01 UTC25%
7 Nov, 02:39 UTC26%
7 Nov, 02:09 UTC26%
7 Nov, 01:55 UTC25%
7 Nov, 01:27 UTC25%
7 Nov, 00:59 UTC24%
7 Nov, 00:16 UTC25%
6 Nov, 23:33 UTC24%
6 Nov, 23:26 UTC26%
6 Nov, 22:57 UTC26%
6 Nov, 21:59 UTC25%
6 Nov, 21:08 UTC26%
6 Nov, 20:53 UTC26%
6 Nov, 20:02 UTC26%
6 Nov, 19:47 UTC25%
6 Nov, 19:25 UTC25%
6 Nov, 18:34 UTC24%
6 Nov, 18:27 UTC25%
6 Nov, 17:57 UTC26%
6 Nov, 17:27 UTC25%
6 Nov, 16:57 UTC25%
6 Nov, 16:20 UTC24%
6 Nov, 15:36 UTC26%
6 Nov, 15:29 UTC25%
6 Nov, 14:56 UTC25%
6 Nov, 13:56 UTC26%
6 Nov, 13:27 UTC25%
6 Nov, 12:51 UTC25%
6 Nov, 11:45 UTC26%
6 Nov, 11:29 UTC25%
6 Nov, 10:56 UTC25%
6 Nov, 10:27 UTC24%
6 Nov, 09:58 UTC25%
6 Nov, 09:16 UTC24%
6 Nov, 08:48 UTC25%
6 Nov, 07:03 UTC24%
6 Nov, 06:49 UTC29%
6 Nov, 06:28 UTC28%
6 Nov, 05:53 UTC32%
6 Nov, 05:10 UTC30%
6 Nov, 04:56 UTC30%
6 Nov, 04:27 UTC29%
6 Nov, 03:37 UTC28%
6 Nov, 03:23 UTC27%
6 Nov, 02:52 UTC28%
6 Nov, 02:29 UTC30%
6 Nov, 01:52 UTC36%
6 Nov, 01:24 UTC31%
6 Nov, 00:55 UTC27%
6 Nov, 00:20 UTC27%
5 Nov, 23:58 UTC30%
5 Nov, 23:22 UTC36%
5 Nov, 22:47 UTC25%
5 Nov, 22:18 UTC27%
5 Nov, 21:56 UTC26%
5 Nov, 21:26 UTC27%
5 Nov, 20:49 UTC25%
5 Nov, 20:27 UTC22%
5 Nov, 19:50 UTC23%
5 Nov, 19:29 UTC23%
5 Nov, 18:50 UTC25%
5 Nov, 18:28 UTC26%
5 Nov, 17:58 UTC25%
5 Nov, 17:28 UTC25%
5 Nov, 16:36 UTC26%
5 Nov, 16:29 UTC24%
5 Nov, 15:49 UTC23%
5 Nov, 15:15 UTC24%
5 Nov, 14:47 UTC24%
5 Nov, 14:08 UTC24%
5 Nov, 13:52 UTC23%
5 Nov, 12:59 UTC23%
5 Nov, 11:56 UTC22%
5 Nov, 11:11 UTC20%
5 Nov, 10:17 UTC23%
5 Nov, 08:14 UTC21%
5 Nov, 07:45 UTC23%
5 Nov, 07:09 UTC23%
5 Nov, 06:33 UTC23%
5 Nov, 06:26 UTC23%
5 Nov, 05:50 UTC23%
5 Nov, 05:02 UTC23%
5 Nov, 04:19 UTC25%
5 Nov, 03:58 UTC23%
5 Nov, 03:23 UTC24%
5 Nov, 02:54 UTC23%
5 Nov, 02:03 UTC25%
5 Nov, 01:56 UTC22%
5 Nov, 01:28 UTC24%
5 Nov, 00:59 UTC23%
5 Nov, 00:23 UTC25%
4 Nov, 23:47 UTC24%
4 Nov, 23:25 UTC24%
4 Nov, 22:49 UTC23%
4 Nov, 22:27 UTC23%
4 Nov, 21:42 UTC26%
4 Nov, 21:26 UTC26%
4 Nov, 20:52 UTC26%
4 Nov, 20:23 UTC25%
4 Nov, 19:57 UTC26%
4 Nov, 19:19 UTC27%
4 Nov, 18:57 UTC29%
4 Nov, 18:27 UTC29%
4 Nov, 17:56 UTC28%
4 Nov, 17:27 UTC26%
4 Nov, 16:57 UTC28%
4 Nov, 16:27 UTC29%
4 Nov, 15:58 UTC26%
4 Nov, 15:21 UTC21%
4 Nov, 14:59 UTC23%
4 Nov, 14:23 UTC24%
4 Nov, 13:53 UTC25%
4 Nov, 13:17 UTC30%
4 Nov, 12:54 UTC33%
4 Nov, 12:24 UTC36%
4 Nov, 11:54 UTC28%
4 Nov, 11:12 UTC35%
4 Nov, 10:51 UTC27%
4 Nov, 10:29 UTC35%
4 Nov, 09:43 UTC27%
4 Nov, 09:21 UTC27%
4 Nov, 08:53 UTC26%
4 Nov, 08:24 UTC27%
4 Nov, 07:56 UTC26%
4 Nov, 07:04 UTC30%
4 Nov, 06:57 UTC37%
4 Nov, 06:21 UTC34%
4 Nov, 05:46 UTC30%
4 Nov, 05:17 UTC26%
4 Nov, 04:47 UTC27%
4 Nov, 04:25 UTC28%
4 Nov, 03:55 UTC27%
4 Nov, 02:49 UTC30%
4 Nov, 02:26 UTC27%
4 Nov, 01:57 UTC27%
4 Nov, 01:27 UTC24%
4 Nov, 00:58 UTC27%
4 Nov, 00:00 UTC24%
3 Nov, 23:53 UTC26%
3 Nov, 22:04 UTC24%
3 Nov, 21:26 UTC26%
3 Nov, 20:27 UTC25%
3 Nov, 19:50 UTC24%
3 Nov, 19:06 UTC26%
3 Nov, 17:51 UTC24%
3 Nov, 16:55 UTC25%
3 Nov, 16:26 UTC25%
3 Nov, 15:57 UTC27%
3 Nov, 15:07 UTC26%
3 Nov, 14:39 UTC25%
3 Nov, 14:18 UTC26%
3 Nov, 12:42 UTC25%
3 Nov, 11:27 UTC24%
3 Nov, 08:46 UTC25%
3 Nov, 07:12 UTC26%
3 Nov, 06:23 UTC25%
3 Nov, 05:54 UTC23%
3 Nov, 03:54 UTC26%
3 Nov, 03:12 UTC24%
3 Nov, 02:58 UTC25%
3 Nov, 02:23 UTC26%
3 Nov, 01:24 UTC27%
3 Nov, 00:55 UTC25%
3 Nov, 00:19 UTC24%
2 Nov, 23:44 UTC25%
2 Nov, 23:08 UTC22%
2 Nov, 22:39 UTC24%
2 Nov, 21:55 UTC25%
2 Nov, 20:08 UTC22%
2 Nov, 19:47 UTC23%
2 Nov, 19:26 UTC24%
2 Nov, 18:56 UTC24%
2 Nov, 18:11 UTC23%
2 Nov, 17:56 UTC26%
2 Nov, 17:04 UTC25%
2 Nov, 16:42 UTC24%
2 Nov, 16:19 UTC24%
2 Nov, 15:34 UTC24%
2 Nov, 15:27 UTC25%
2 Nov, 14:49 UTC23%
2 Nov, 14:03 UTC24%
2 Nov, 13:11 UTC22%
2 Nov, 12:49 UTC21%
2 Nov, 12:12 UTC23%
2 Nov, 10:43 UTC21%
2 Nov, 06:42 UTC22%
2 Nov, 03:06 UTC21%
2 Nov, 02:58 UTC22%
2 Nov, 02:08 UTC20%
2 Nov, 01:53 UTC21%
2 Nov, 01:24 UTC22%
2 Nov, 00:40 UTC23%
2 Nov, 00:19 UTC22%
1 Nov, 23:43 UTC22%
1 Nov, 23:29 UTC22%
1 Nov, 22:53 UTC22%
1 Nov, 22:17 UTC22%
1 Nov, 21:12 UTC22%
1 Nov, 20:57 UTC23%
1 Nov, 19:52 UTC23%
1 Nov, 19:23 UTC22%
1 Nov, 18:54 UTC23%
1 Nov, 18:18 UTC23%
1 Nov, 17:49 UTC21%
1 Nov, 16:15 UTC22%
1 Nov, 14:30 UTC24%
1 Nov, 13:46 UTC23%
1 Nov, 12:55 UTC27%
1 Nov, 12:02 UTC23%
1 Nov, 11:19 UTC24%
1 Nov, 06:36 UTC23%
1 Nov, 03:54 UTC22%
1 Nov, 03:19 UTC25%
1 Nov, 02:43 UTC23%
1 Nov, 02:29 UTC22%
1 Nov, 01:52 UTC23%
1 Nov, 01:17 UTC24%
31 Oct, 23:04 UTC25%
31 Oct, 22:43 UTC24%
31 Oct, 22:07 UTC22%
31 Oct, 21:39 UTC21%
31 Oct, 20:50 UTC22%
31 Oct, 20:21 UTC24%
31 Oct, 19:59 UTC25%
31 Oct, 19:10 UTC22%
31 Oct, 18:11 UTC23%
31 Oct, 17:34 UTC23%
31 Oct, 17:21 UTC21%
31 Oct, 14:31 UTC22%
31 Oct, 13:01 UTC24%
31 Oct, 12:54 UTC21%

Your call. How does this end?

Free, no money involved. Calls are scored against the market's price when you make them, so backing an underdog that wins scores most. Leaderboard · Your calls

Does the market have this right?

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What counts

The market resolves to Yes if the U.S. President elected for the 2025–2029 term resigns from office before their term ends. It resolves to No if they do not resign within that timeframe. Readers often mistake the linked news story about a call for resignation as the triggering event, but only an actual resignation counts.

Written from Kalshi's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Kalshi are what decides it.

Outcomes

  • Yes 25%
  • No 75%

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