Julian Assange
Implied probability 5%
24-hour volume$0
Total volume$5k
Liquidity$5k
Resolves1 Jan 2027
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 5% |
| 21 Oct, 12:50 UTC | 5% |
Your call. How does this end?
Free, no money involved. Calls are scored against the market's price when you make them, so backing an underdog that wins scores most. Leaderboard · Your calls
Does the market have this right?
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What counts
The market resolves to Yes if Julian Assange receives a presidential pardon, commutation, or reprieve from Donald Trump during his second term and before January 1, 2027. Otherwise, it resolves to No. Readers often mistake the release of other prisoners for this outcome, but only actions specifically targeting Assange count.
Written from Kalshi's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Kalshi are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 5%
- No 95%