Healthcare
Implied probability 99%+5
24-hour volume$33k
Total volume$37k
Liquidity$37k
Resolves23 Oct 2026
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 99% |
| 10 Oct, 01:53 UTC | 95% |
| 10 Oct, 01:20 UTC | 92% |
| 10 Oct, 00:59 UTC | 94% |
| 10 Oct, 00:05 UTC | 94% |
| 9 Oct, 23:59 UTC | 94% |
| 9 Oct, 22:45 UTC | 95% |
| 9 Oct, 22:24 UTC | 95% |
| 9 Oct, 21:30 UTC | 94% |
| 9 Oct, 21:23 UTC | 95% |
| 9 Oct, 19:44 UTC | 95% |
| 9 Oct, 18:49 UTC | 94% |
| 9 Oct, 18:20 UTC | 95% |
| 9 Oct, 17:03 UTC | 94% |
| 8 Oct, 16:53 UTC | 95% |
Does the market have this right?
Email me when the odds move
What counts
The market resolves to Yes if Donald Trump explicitly mentions Healthcare during his Midterm Rally in Syracuse, New York. The event must take place on October 9, 2026, or be part of that originally scheduled rally. Readers often mistake the location or date for the trigger, but only the specific mention of Healthcare at this event counts.
Written from Kalshi's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Kalshi are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 99%
- No 1%