Masoud Pezeshkian
Implied probability 5%−1
24-hour volume$7
Total volume$6k
Liquidity$6k
Resolves1 Oct 2026
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 5% |
| 30 Sept, 12:16 UTC | 5% |
| 28 Sept, 06:36 UTC | 6% |
| 26 Sept, 12:37 UTC | 3% |
| 26 Sept, 08:12 UTC | 2% |
| 25 Sept, 01:22 UTC | 8% |
Does the market have this right?
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What counts
The market resolves to "Yes" if Donald Trump and Masoud Pezeshkian meet, including via phone call, in September 2026. Otherwise, it resolves to "No." Readers often mistake the linked news story as a resolution trigger, but only the specified meeting matters.
Written from Kalshi's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Kalshi are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 5%
- No 95%