Xi Jinping
Implied probability 10%+3
24-hour volume$724
Total volume$4k
Liquidity$4k
Resolves1 Nov 2026
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 10% |
| 24 Oct, 10:10 UTC | 10% |
| 24 Oct, 06:58 UTC | 17% |
| 24 Oct, 00:27 UTC | 10% |
| 23 Oct, 22:21 UTC | 9% |
| 23 Oct, 18:48 UTC | 7% |
| 23 Oct, 04:57 UTC | 11% |
| 23 Oct, 00:55 UTC | 9% |
| 22 Oct, 17:24 UTC | 11% |
| 21 Oct, 10:03 UTC | 8% |
| 21 Oct, 09:33 UTC | 9% |
| 21 Oct, 08:51 UTC | 8% |
| 21 Oct, 00:22 UTC | 12% |
| 20 Oct, 07:29 UTC | 11% |
Does the market have this right?
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What counts
The outcome is Yes if Donald Trump and Xi Jinping meet via any method, including a phone call, during October 2026. Otherwise, the outcome is No. Readers often mistake the deadline, thinking the meeting must occur before or after that specific month.
Written from Kalshi's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Kalshi are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 10%
- No 90%