Before Oct 1, 2026
The market favoured No at 97% a day out, and it won. How often it's right
Final probability 1%
24-hour volume$524
Total volume$3k
Liquidity$3k
Resolved1 Oct 2026
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 1% |
| 30 Sept, 16:44 UTC | 1% |
| 30 Sept, 15:08 UTC | 2% |
| 30 Sept, 04:13 UTC | 3% |
What counts
The outcome is Yes if a Source Agency confirms that Trump's name appears on the Kennedy Center facade between now and October 1, 2026. The outcome is No if no such confirmation occurs by that deadline. Readers often mistake the date of the linked news story for the resolution deadline.
Written from Kalshi's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Kalshi are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 1%
- No 99%