No one
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 8% |
| 7 Oct, 12:10 UTC | 8% |
Your call. How does this end?
Free, no money involved. Calls are scored against the market's price when you make them, so backing an underdog that wins scores most. Leaderboard · Your calls
Does the market have this right?
Email me when the odds move
What counts
The market resolves to Yes if Donald Trump publicly endorses no candidate for the 2028 presidential election before March 1, 2028. It resolves to No if he does not meet this condition by that date. Readers often mistake the deadline as the only factor, ignoring that the endorsement must be public and specifically refer to the 2028 race.
Written from Kalshi's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Kalshi are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 8%
- No 92%