Elon Musk
The market favoured Yes at 91% a day out, and it won. How often it's right
Final probability 99%
24-hour volume$0
Total volume$4k
Liquidity$4k
Resolved25 Sept 2026
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 99% |
| 25 Sept, 02:59 UTC | 99% |
| 24 Sept, 01:55 UTC | 91% |
What counts
The market resolves to Yes if Donald Trump and Elon Musk meet in person between now and October 1, 2026. Otherwise, it resolves to No. Readers often mistake a scheduled appearance or virtual meeting for the required in-person interaction.
Written from Kalshi's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Kalshi are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 99%
- No 1%