At least 17 dates cancelled
Implied probability 2%
24-hour volume$0
Total volume$24k
Liquidity$24k
Resolves12 Dec 2026
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 2% |
| 25 Oct, 20:20 UTC | 2% |
Your call. How does this end?
Free, no money involved. Calls are scored against the market's price when you make them, so backing an underdog that wins scores most. Leaderboard · Your calls
Does the market have this right?
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What counts
The outcome is Yes if at least 17 dates from Ed Sheeran's Loop Tour 2026 are cancelled between now and December 12, 2026. Otherwise, the outcome is No. Readers often mistake the announcement of a tour for the cancellation itself; only actual cancellations count.
Written from Kalshi's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Kalshi are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 2%
- No 98%