West Indies
The market favoured Yes at 61% a day out, and it won. How often it's right
Final probability 99%
24-hour volume$150k
Total volume$504k
Liquidity$504k
Resolved4 Nov 2026
Why it moved: +13 points at 06:57 UTC, after Times of India: ‘Send him home’: Ex-cricketer's blunt message to Gambhir over Sooryavanshi — the latest article on its stories before the jump; what followed, not what caused it.
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 99% |
| 31 Oct, 09:16 UTC | 97% |
| 31 Oct, 08:56 UTC | 97% |
| 31 Oct, 08:21 UTC | 93% |
| 31 Oct, 07:53 UTC | 92% |
| 31 Oct, 07:25 UTC | 83% |
| 31 Oct, 06:57 UTC | 85% |
| 31 Oct, 06:29 UTC | 72% |
| 31 Oct, 05:54 UTC | 67% |
| 31 Oct, 05:26 UTC | 66% |
| 31 Oct, 04:57 UTC | 65% |
| 31 Oct, 04:21 UTC | 69% |
| 31 Oct, 03:45 UTC | 65% |
| 31 Oct, 03:24 UTC | 61% |
| 31 Oct, 02:54 UTC | 60% |
| 31 Oct, 02:26 UTC | 59% |
| 31 Oct, 01:11 UTC | 63% |
| 31 Oct, 00:57 UTC | 62% |
| 31 Oct, 00:24 UTC | 63% |
| 30 Oct, 23:41 UTC | 63% |
| 30 Oct, 23:23 UTC | 62% |
| 30 Oct, 22:47 UTC | 61% |
| 30 Oct, 22:07 UTC | 63% |
| 30 Oct, 21:46 UTC | 64% |
| 30 Oct, 21:24 UTC | 62% |
| 30 Oct, 20:22 UTC | 62% |
| 30 Oct, 19:34 UTC | 60% |
| 30 Oct, 19:27 UTC | 62% |
| 30 Oct, 18:44 UTC | 61% |
| 30 Oct, 18:03 UTC | 62% |
| 30 Oct, 17:56 UTC | 61% |
| 30 Oct, 17:20 UTC | 63% |
| 30 Oct, 16:54 UTC | 62% |
| 30 Oct, 16:25 UTC | 62% |
| 30 Oct, 15:13 UTC | 62% |
| 30 Oct, 14:58 UTC | 62% |
| 30 Oct, 14:07 UTC | 63% |
| 30 Oct, 13:50 UTC | 62% |
| 30 Oct, 13:20 UTC | 62% |
| 30 Oct, 12:52 UTC | 61% |
| 30 Oct, 12:24 UTC | 63% |
| 30 Oct, 11:52 UTC | 62% |
| 30 Oct, 11:18 UTC | 64% |
| 30 Oct, 10:50 UTC | 62% |
| 30 Oct, 10:28 UTC | 63% |
| 30 Oct, 09:58 UTC | 65% |
| 30 Oct, 09:29 UTC | 72% |
| 30 Oct, 08:55 UTC | 69% |
| 30 Oct, 08:22 UTC | 52% |
| 30 Oct, 07:55 UTC | 34% |
| 30 Oct, 07:28 UTC | 33% |
| 30 Oct, 06:56 UTC | 34% |
| 30 Oct, 06:28 UTC | 38% |
| 30 Oct, 05:56 UTC | 39% |
| 30 Oct, 05:28 UTC | 40% |
| 30 Oct, 04:36 UTC | 34% |
| 30 Oct, 04:29 UTC | 38% |
| 30 Oct, 03:54 UTC | 35% |
| 30 Oct, 03:23 UTC | 35% |
| 30 Oct, 02:48 UTC | 36% |
| 30 Oct, 02:09 UTC | 34% |
| 30 Oct, 01:41 UTC | 33% |
| 30 Oct, 01:28 UTC | 38% |
| 30 Oct, 00:56 UTC | 34% |
| 30 Oct, 00:14 UTC | 37% |
| 29 Oct, 23:40 UTC | 34% |
| 29 Oct, 23:19 UTC | 36% |
| 29 Oct, 22:57 UTC | 34% |
| 29 Oct, 22:17 UTC | 35% |
| 29 Oct, 21:55 UTC | 34% |
| 29 Oct, 21:14 UTC | 34% |
| 29 Oct, 20:46 UTC | 34% |
| 29 Oct, 19:57 UTC | 32% |
| 29 Oct, 19:22 UTC | 32% |
| 29 Oct, 18:35 UTC | 32% |
| 29 Oct, 18:21 UTC | 32% |
| 29 Oct, 17:59 UTC | 33% |
| 29 Oct, 17:19 UTC | 34% |
| 29 Oct, 16:42 UTC | 33% |
| 29 Oct, 15:53 UTC | 33% |
| 29 Oct, 15:22 UTC | 33% |
| 29 Oct, 14:55 UTC | 33% |
| 29 Oct, 14:24 UTC | 34% |
| 29 Oct, 13:46 UTC | 32% |
| 29 Oct, 13:15 UTC | 36% |
| 29 Oct, 12:59 UTC | 36% |
| 29 Oct, 12:25 UTC | 35% |
| 29 Oct, 11:12 UTC | 36% |
| 29 Oct, 10:51 UTC | 34% |
| 29 Oct, 10:26 UTC | 28% |
| 29 Oct, 09:55 UTC | 36% |
| 29 Oct, 09:26 UTC | 37% |
| 29 Oct, 07:05 UTC | 36% |
| 29 Oct, 06:58 UTC | 33% |
| 29 Oct, 06:18 UTC | 36% |
| 29 Oct, 05:51 UTC | 34% |
| 29 Oct, 05:29 UTC | 28% |
| 29 Oct, 04:56 UTC | 21% |
| 29 Oct, 04:28 UTC | 24% |
| 29 Oct, 03:49 UTC | 23% |
| 29 Oct, 03:14 UTC | 21% |
| 29 Oct, 02:53 UTC | 22% |
| 29 Oct, 01:52 UTC | 20% |
| 29 Oct, 00:55 UTC | 19% |
| 29 Oct, 00:27 UTC | 19% |
| 28 Oct, 23:40 UTC | 19% |
| 28 Oct, 23:19 UTC | 19% |
| 28 Oct, 22:39 UTC | 17% |
| 28 Oct, 22:18 UTC | 19% |
| 28 Oct, 21:57 UTC | 19% |
| 28 Oct, 21:15 UTC | 20% |
| 28 Oct, 20:59 UTC | 18% |
| 28 Oct, 20:02 UTC | 21% |
| 28 Oct, 19:55 UTC | 16% |
| 28 Oct, 14:35 UTC | 17% |
| 28 Oct, 13:16 UTC | 18% |
| 28 Oct, 12:04 UTC | 17% |
| 28 Oct, 11:31 UTC | 15% |
| 28 Oct, 11:24 UTC | 17% |
| 28 Oct, 10:23 UTC | 21% |
| 28 Oct, 09:55 UTC | 21% |
| 28 Oct, 09:10 UTC | 17% |
| 28 Oct, 08:56 UTC | 19% |
| 28 Oct, 08:22 UTC | 19% |
| 28 Oct, 07:49 UTC | 27% |
| 28 Oct, 07:29 UTC | 29% |
| 28 Oct, 06:43 UTC | 26% |
| 28 Oct, 06:20 UTC | 24% |
| 28 Oct, 05:51 UTC | 31% |
| 28 Oct, 05:26 UTC | 29% |
| 28 Oct, 04:56 UTC | 31% |
| 28 Oct, 04:17 UTC | 32% |
| 28 Oct, 03:56 UTC | 30% |
| 28 Oct, 03:29 UTC | 30% |
| 28 Oct, 02:44 UTC | 32% |
| 28 Oct, 02:16 UTC | 31% |
| 28 Oct, 01:49 UTC | 32% |
| 28 Oct, 01:28 UTC | 31% |
| 27 Oct, 21:56 UTC | 31% |
| 27 Oct, 20:46 UTC | 32% |
| 27 Oct, 20:10 UTC | 30% |
| 27 Oct, 18:19 UTC | 33% |
| 27 Oct, 17:00 UTC | 34% |
| 27 Oct, 16:52 UTC | 33% |
| 27 Oct, 15:12 UTC | 35% |
| 27 Oct, 14:36 UTC | 34% |
| 27 Oct, 14:29 UTC | 30% |
| 27 Oct, 13:48 UTC | 31% |
| 27 Oct, 13:11 UTC | 35% |
| 26 Oct, 12:23 UTC | 46% |
What counts
The market resolves to Yes if the West Indies wins the men's professional Test series against Bangladesh that was originally scheduled for October 28, 2026. The outcome is No if they do not win this specific series. Readers often mistake the linked story about India and New Zealand as relevant, but only the result of the West Indies vs. Bangladesh match counts.
Written from Kalshi's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Kalshi are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 99%
- No 1%