JAY-Z
The market favoured Yes at 68% a day out, and it won. How often it's right
Final probability 99%
24-hour volume$52k
Total volume$405k
Liquidity$405k
Resolved15 Feb 2027
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 99% |
| 27 Oct, 02:02 UTC | 99% |
| 27 Oct, 01:53 UTC | 86% |
| 27 Oct, 01:25 UTC | 85% |
| 27 Oct, 00:59 UTC | 83% |
| 27 Oct, 00:17 UTC | 83% |
| 26 Oct, 23:52 UTC | 81% |
| 26 Oct, 22:56 UTC | 83% |
| 26 Oct, 21:53 UTC | 83% |
| 26 Oct, 21:11 UTC | 82% |
| 26 Oct, 20:12 UTC | 84% |
| 26 Oct, 19:44 UTC | 84% |
| 26 Oct, 19:15 UTC | 83% |
| 26 Oct, 17:06 UTC | 84% |
| 26 Oct, 16:51 UTC | 83% |
| 26 Oct, 16:02 UTC | 82% |
| 26 Oct, 15:47 UTC | 83% |
| 26 Oct, 15:17 UTC | 84% |
| 26 Oct, 14:03 UTC | 84% |
| 26 Oct, 13:13 UTC | 84% |
| 26 Oct, 11:31 UTC | 83% |
| 26 Oct, 11:09 UTC | 82% |
| 26 Oct, 10:56 UTC | 83% |
| 26 Oct, 09:24 UTC | 81% |
| 26 Oct, 06:51 UTC | 82% |
| 26 Oct, 05:53 UTC | 81% |
| 26 Oct, 05:19 UTC | 83% |
| 26 Oct, 04:22 UTC | 83% |
| 26 Oct, 03:57 UTC | 84% |
| 26 Oct, 03:13 UTC | 80% |
| 26 Oct, 02:41 UTC | 74% |
| 26 Oct, 01:52 UTC | 68% |
| 26 Oct, 01:19 UTC | 65% |
| 26 Oct, 00:54 UTC | 64% |
| 25 Oct, 23:35 UTC | 75% |
| 25 Oct, 23:25 UTC | 73% |
| 25 Oct, 22:45 UTC | 77% |
| 25 Oct, 22:13 UTC | 77% |
| 25 Oct, 21:43 UTC | 80% |
| 25 Oct, 21:29 UTC | 78% |
| 25 Oct, 20:56 UTC | 81% |
| 25 Oct, 20:19 UTC | 81% |
| 25 Oct, 19:46 UTC | 80% |
| 25 Oct, 19:04 UTC | 82% |
| 25 Oct, 18:32 UTC | 83% |
| 25 Oct, 18:04 UTC | 80% |
| 25 Oct, 17:56 UTC | 76% |
| 25 Oct, 17:10 UTC | 72% |
| 25 Oct, 16:00 UTC | 76% |
| 25 Oct, 15:53 UTC | 78% |
| 25 Oct, 15:25 UTC | 78% |
| 25 Oct, 14:41 UTC | 77% |
| 25 Oct, 14:19 UTC | 78% |
| 25 Oct, 13:56 UTC | 78% |
| 25 Oct, 12:10 UTC | 78% |
| 25 Oct, 11:49 UTC | 79% |
| 25 Oct, 11:14 UTC | 78% |
| 25 Oct, 10:13 UTC | 79% |
| 25 Oct, 08:07 UTC | 80% |
| 25 Oct, 07:39 UTC | 76% |
| 25 Oct, 07:25 UTC | 79% |
| 25 Oct, 06:12 UTC | 76% |
| 25 Oct, 05:57 UTC | 78% |
| 25 Oct, 05:24 UTC | 78% |
| 25 Oct, 04:49 UTC | 79% |
| 25 Oct, 03:44 UTC | 72% |
| 25 Oct, 02:42 UTC | 74% |
| 25 Oct, 02:21 UTC | 76% |
| 25 Oct, 01:08 UTC | 84% |
| 25 Oct, 00:21 UTC | 86% |
| 24 Oct, 23:48 UTC | 87% |
| 24 Oct, 23:12 UTC | 87% |
| 24 Oct, 22:33 UTC | 86% |
| 24 Oct, 22:19 UTC | 87% |
| 24 Oct, 21:12 UTC | 87% |
| 24 Oct, 20:23 UTC | 89% |
| 24 Oct, 19:44 UTC | 87% |
| 24 Oct, 19:09 UTC | 86% |
| 24 Oct, 18:29 UTC | 88% |
| 24 Oct, 17:54 UTC | 88% |
| 24 Oct, 16:47 UTC | 86% |
| 24 Oct, 16:22 UTC | 90% |
| 24 Oct, 15:55 UTC | 87% |
| 24 Oct, 15:08 UTC | 87% |
| 24 Oct, 14:54 UTC | 85% |
| 24 Oct, 14:12 UTC | 84% |
| 24 Oct, 13:00 UTC | 87% |
| 24 Oct, 11:57 UTC | 84% |
| 24 Oct, 11:12 UTC | 81% |
| 24 Oct, 10:44 UTC | 83% |
| 24 Oct, 09:43 UTC | 81% |
| 24 Oct, 08:36 UTC | 83% |
| 24 Oct, 08:02 UTC | 81% |
| 24 Oct, 06:58 UTC | 83% |
| 24 Oct, 03:30 UTC | 84% |
| 24 Oct, 01:48 UTC | 86% |
| 24 Oct, 01:25 UTC | 85% |
| 24 Oct, 00:52 UTC | 78% |
| 24 Oct, 00:13 UTC | 75% |
| 23 Oct, 23:57 UTC | 71% |
| 23 Oct, 23:10 UTC | 75% |
| 23 Oct, 22:49 UTC | 73% |
| 23 Oct, 22:21 UTC | 74% |
| 23 Oct, 21:11 UTC | 76% |
| 23 Oct, 20:42 UTC | 74% |
| 23 Oct, 20:28 UTC | 76% |
| 23 Oct, 19:57 UTC | 77% |
| 23 Oct, 19:19 UTC | 75% |
| 23 Oct, 18:56 UTC | 71% |
| 23 Oct, 18:22 UTC | 70% |
| 23 Oct, 17:46 UTC | 76% |
| 23 Oct, 17:04 UTC | 78% |
| 23 Oct, 16:57 UTC | 74% |
| 23 Oct, 16:29 UTC | 80% |
| 23 Oct, 15:49 UTC | 89% |
| 23 Oct, 15:27 UTC | 91% |
| 23 Oct, 14:51 UTC | 89% |
| 23 Oct, 13:52 UTC | 90% |
| 23 Oct, 11:13 UTC | 90% |
| 23 Oct, 08:46 UTC | 91% |
| 23 Oct, 07:06 UTC | 89% |
| 23 Oct, 06:59 UTC | 91% |
| 23 Oct, 05:39 UTC | 89% |
| 23 Oct, 05:25 UTC | 90% |
| 23 Oct, 04:38 UTC | 90% |
| 23 Oct, 04:02 UTC | 89% |
| 23 Oct, 03:53 UTC | 90% |
| 23 Oct, 00:55 UTC | 90% |
| 23 Oct, 00:02 UTC | 89% |
| 22 Oct, 23:55 UTC | 91% |
| 22 Oct, 23:27 UTC | 93% |
| 22 Oct, 22:46 UTC | 92% |
| 22 Oct, 22:18 UTC | 91% |
| 22 Oct, 21:37 UTC | 90% |
| 22 Oct, 20:48 UTC | 90% |
| 22 Oct, 20:05 UTC | 88% |
| 22 Oct, 19:58 UTC | 89% |
| 22 Oct, 18:41 UTC | 88% |
| 22 Oct, 18:20 UTC | 89% |
| 22 Oct, 17:45 UTC | 89% |
| 22 Oct, 17:24 UTC | 89% |
| 22 Oct, 16:54 UTC | 90% |
| 22 Oct, 16:12 UTC | 90% |
| 22 Oct, 15:28 UTC | 90% |
| 22 Oct, 14:46 UTC | 89% |
| 22 Oct, 13:12 UTC | 88% |
| 22 Oct, 12:43 UTC | 87% |
| 22 Oct, 11:45 UTC | 88% |
| 22 Oct, 11:07 UTC | 87% |
| 22 Oct, 10:39 UTC | 88% |
| 22 Oct, 09:54 UTC | 88% |
| 22 Oct, 05:32 UTC | 87% |
| 22 Oct, 05:25 UTC | 87% |
| 22 Oct, 04:55 UTC | 86% |
| 22 Oct, 04:27 UTC | 83% |
| 22 Oct, 03:38 UTC | 86% |
| 22 Oct, 03:23 UTC | 88% |
| 22 Oct, 02:47 UTC | 86% |
| 22 Oct, 02:26 UTC | 88% |
What counts
The market resolves to Yes if JAY-Z is officially announced as the headliner for the Pro Football Championship Halftime Show before February 15, 2027. Otherwise, it resolves to No. Readers often mistake any news about JAY-Z performing at other events or rumors of his involvement as sufficient for a Yes resolution.
Written from Kalshi's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Kalshi are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 99%
- No 1%