Amazon Prime
Implied probability 86%−6
24-hour volume$36
Total volume$2k
Liquidity$2k
Resolves15 Feb 2027
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 86% |
| 10 Oct, 06:13 UTC | 86% |
| 8 Oct, 21:20 UTC | 92% |
| 6 Oct, 04:02 UTC | 91% |
| 5 Oct, 11:37 UTC | 87% |
Your call. How does this end?
Free, no money involved. Calls are scored against the market's price when you make them, so backing an underdog that wins scores most. Leaderboard · Your calls
Does the market have this right?
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What counts
The market resolves to Yes if Amazon Prime airs a qualifying ad during the 2027 Super Bowl broadcast. It resolves to No if that specific advertisement does not air in that exact window. Readers often mistake other Prime Day promotions or ads on different platforms for the required event.
Written from Kalshi's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Kalshi are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 86%
- No 14%