Republican party
Implied probability 89%
24-hour volume$0
Total volume$3k
Liquidity$3k
Resolves2 Feb 2027
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 89% |
| 22 Oct, 00:59 UTC | 89% |
Your call. How does this end?
Free, no money involved. Calls are scored against the market's price when you make them, so backing an underdog that wins scores most. Leaderboard · Your calls
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What counts
The outcome is Yes if Republicans win control of the Alaska State Senate in the 2026 election. The outcome is No if they do not. Readers often mistake the linked story about the governor's race for the relevant event, but only the state senate results matter.
Written from Kalshi's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Kalshi are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 89%
- No 11%