Question 2
The market favoured Yes at 84% a day out, and it won. How often it's right
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 99% |
| 3 Nov, 21:57 UTC | 99% |
What counts
The market resolves to Yes if Question 2 passes in Maryland. It resolves to No if it fails. Readers often mistake the election date for the resolution deadline.
Written from Kalshi's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Kalshi are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 99%
- No 1%