At least 46%
Implied probability 99%
24-hour volume$0
Total volume$8k
Liquidity$8k
Resolves25 Jan 2027
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 99% |
| 26 Oct, 02:13 UTC | 99% |
| 25 Oct, 21:21 UTC | 96% |
| 25 Oct, 20:56 UTC | 87% |
| 25 Oct, 20:05 UTC | 50% |
| 25 Oct, 16:21 UTC | 51% |
| 25 Oct, 14:12 UTC | 50% |
| 25 Oct, 13:03 UTC | 49% |
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What counts
The outcome is Yes if the Student List - Students Win party receives at least 46% of valid votes in the first non-preliminary nationwide general report from RIK for the October 25, 2026 Serbian parliamentary election. The outcome is No if that share falls below 46%. Readers often mistake exit polls or preliminary results for the final count, but only the specified official report determines the resolution.
Written from Kalshi's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Kalshi are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 99%
- No 1%