Before 2027
Implied probability 20%
24-hour volume$0
Total volume$10k
Liquidity$10k
Resolves1 Jan 2027
Your call. How does this end?
Free, no money involved. Calls are scored against the market's price when you make them, so backing an underdog that wins scores most. Leaderboard · Your calls
Does the market have this right?
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What counts
The market resolves to Yes if Virgin Galactic launches its next commercial Delta-class SpaceShip after issuance but before January 1, 2027. Otherwise, it resolves to No. Readers often mistake the linked news story about a train mock-up for the relevant event, but only the space launch counts.
Written from Kalshi's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Kalshi are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 20%
- No 80%