Lil Nas X
Implied probability 99%
24-hour volume$0
Total volume$3k
Liquidity$3k
Resolves8 Jan 2027
Does the market have this right?
Email me when the odds move
What counts
The market resolves to Yes if Lil Nas X releases a new song in 2026. It resolves to No if he does not release a new song during that year. Readers often mistake the linked news story as the resolution event, but only a full song release in 2026 counts.
Written from Kalshi's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Kalshi are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 99%
- No 1%